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Employees hide $154 million in accounts. Macy's said that internal control was ineffective. On Thursday, Macy's said that a reassessment of its financial situation showed that as of February this year, the internal control (including proper record maintenance) of the chain department store was not effective. The retailer launched an evaluation at the end of November after discovering that an employee had concealed as much as $154 million in expenses for many years. Therefore, the company postponed the release of the third quarter earnings report until December 11th. Macy's said that under the supervision of the board of directors, Tony Spring, its CEO, and Adrian Mitchell, its chief financial officer, re-evaluated the effectiveness of internal control, and pointed out that its financial report was not effective as of February 3 due to major defects. The department store chain said that it is implementing changes to improve internal control and make up for major defects.CITIC Jiantou: With the increase of policy stimulus, the pro-cyclical catering chain is expected to take the lead in benefiting from the expected improvement. According to CITIC Jiantou Research Report, since September, heavy meetings have continuously released a clear policy signal to strive to achieve the goals and tasks of economic and social development throughout the year, and policies such as lowering the standard, reducing interest rates, lowering the mortgage interest rate, supporting local governments to resolve government affairs risks, issuing special government bonds to supplement core Tier 1 capital, using various tools to promote the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize, and increasing support and guarantee for key groups have been released one after another. Focusing on boosting consumption and expanding effective domestic demand, the food and beverage industry is expected to usher in an inflection point, and its performance and valuation are expected to continue to improve. The liquor sector is expected to rebound with the boost of the domestic economy and the activation of household consumption, and the business scene and mass consumption boom will return to the consumption upgrading channel, and the profitability of leading liquor companies is expected to accelerate the repair. At present, the overall valuation of the liquor sector is still at a low level, and the long-term investment value is prominent. With the increase of policy stimulus, the pro-cyclical catering chain is expected to take the lead in benefiting from the expected improvement. Continue to be optimistic: 1) The leisure snacks and beverage industries maintain a high degree of prosperity, and new channels bring important incremental opportunities to companies in the industry; 2) Combined with the catering channels that are recovering continuously, it is suggested to pay attention to condiments, beer and catering chain labels with innovative products or reform expectations. At the same time, the current market price of molasses has further dropped from the previous month, which is of great help to yeast enterprises to improve their profit elasticity. 3) The inflection point of the raw milk cycle is approaching, the gift scene is expected to be repaired, and the dairy products continue to upgrade their structure, with high dividends and outstanding cost performance.CITIC Jiantou: The Matthew effect of the property insurance industry is expected to be further highlighted. CITIC Jiantou said that the State Financial Supervision and Administration Bureau recently issued the Action Plan on Strengthening Supervision, Preventing Risks, Promoting Reform and Promoting the High-quality Development of the Property Insurance Industry. In terms of comprehensive supervision and strict supervision, the Action Plan proposes to improve the quality and effectiveness of property insurance supervision from strengthening market access and exit supervision, promoting hierarchical and classified supervision, strictly rectifying illegal activities, and improving prudential supervision system and rules. In terms of effectively preventing and resolving risks, the Action Plan proposes to enhance the ability of risk prevention and resolution of the property insurance industry by enhancing the ability of capital replenishment and improving the monitoring and early warning system, and proposes to encourage mergers and acquisitions of property insurance companies. Deepen reform and promote opening up, and propose to guide property insurance institutions to position their development, accelerate business transformation and upgrading, enhance risk management capabilities, and promote high-level opening up. On the whole, the Action Plan will help to prevent and resolve risks in the property insurance industry, lay a foundation and provide guidance for the high-quality development of the industry, and the Matthew effect of the industry is expected to be further highlighted.

The moderate increase in inflation in the United States consolidated the expectation of interest rate cuts in December. According to the data released by the US Department of Labor on December 11, local time, the US consumer price index (CPI) increased by 0.3% in November, an increase of 0.1 percentage point over October. Inflation continues to rise moderately, which is in line with the market's previous judgment and also supports the expectation that the Fed will continue to cut interest rates this month. However, considering the slowdown in inflation and the increase in uncertainties affecting the economy, many analysts believe that the Fed may slow down the pace of interest rate cuts in the future. (Economic Information Daily)The Henan provincial government and Shenzhen Stock Exchange signed a strategic cooperation agreement. According to the news of Henan government network, on December 12, the Henan provincial government and Shenzhen Stock Exchange signed a strategic cooperation agreement in Zhengzhou, and reached a cooperation intention on jointly promoting capital market construction and promoting local economic development. The two sides will adhere to the principles of complementary advantages, resource sharing, project traction, innovation and win-win, and establish an all-round, multi-level, long-term stable, cooperative and mutually beneficial strategic cooperative relationship; Focusing on the implementation of major national strategies and the key industrial chain groups cultivated in Henan Province, we will intensify the cultivation and promote more high-quality enterprises to go public; Give full play to the role of industry-finance service platform and further broaden financing channels; Establish an all-round communication mechanism, strengthen information sharing and work coordination, and jointly create a good environment for the development of the capital market.CITIC Jiantou: The food and beverage industry is expected to usher in an inflection point. The CITIC Jiantou research report pointed out that 1) focusing on boosting consumption and expanding effective domestic demand, the food and beverage industry is expected to usher in an inflection point, and its performance and valuation are expected to continue to improve. The liquor sector is expected to rebound with the boost of the domestic economy and the activation of household consumption, and the business scene and mass consumption boom will return to the consumption upgrading channel, and the profitability of leading liquor companies is expected to accelerate the repair. At present, the overall valuation of the liquor sector is still at a low level, and the long-term investment value is prominent. 2) With the increase of policy stimulus, the pro-cyclical catering chain is expected to take the lead in benefiting from the expected improvement. Continue to be optimistic: 1) The leisure snacks and beverage industries maintain a high degree of prosperity, and new channels bring important incremental opportunities to companies in the industry; 2) In combination with the catering channels that continue to recover, it is suggested to pay attention to condiments, beer and catering chain labels with innovative products or reform expectations, and at the same time, the current molasses market price is further reduced from the previous month, which is of great help to yeast enterprises to improve their profit elasticity; 3) The inflection point of the raw milk cycle is approaching, the gift scene is expected to be repaired, and the dairy products continue to upgrade their structure, with high dividends and outstanding cost performance.

Guotai Junan: It is expected that the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, and there is a strong opportunity and space for rebound. Guotai Junan Securities recently reported that the lithium price has entered the bottom range by the end of 2024. If the demand maintains the current neutral estimate in 2025, the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range. At present, the market is optimistic about the demand in 2025, and the industry supply has slowed down. It is estimated that the price trend of lithium will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, in which the stage is affected by seasonal factors and there is a strong rebound opportunity and space. The market expected the trading of lithium plate earlier, that is, when the commodity price bottomed out, the lithium plate already contained the expectation of industrial clearing. When the industry actually enters the stage of supply and clearing, the sector will trade commodity price reversal expectations. From this, we infer that the rise of lithium plate will start before the spot price reverses.A number of projects have accelerated the implementation of the national water network construction, and the South-to-North Water Transfer Project is a major strategic infrastructure to alleviate the serious shortage of water resources in northern China, and it is the main skeleton and artery of the national water network. On December 12th, the first phase of the East Middle Route of South-to-North Water Transfer Project ushered in the 10th anniversary of full water supply. The project has transferred more than 76.7 billion cubic meters of water, providing stable and high-quality water sources for 45 large and medium-sized cities and 185 million people in 7 provinces and cities along the route, and supporting the GDP growth of more than 16 trillion yuan in the northern region. The reporter was informed that in the next step, China will continue to promote the construction of major national water network projects, and a number of large reservoirs, large irrigation areas and other projects are being accelerated. (Economic Information Daily)Zhou Hongchun, a researcher at the State Council Development Research Center: Cultivating green buildings will form a new economic growth point. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to jointly promote carbon reduction, pollution reduction and green growth, and step up the comprehensive green transformation of economic and social development. In this regard, Zhou Hongchun, a researcher at the the State Council Development Research Center, said that reducing carbon, reducing pollution and expanding green growth is the proper logic for China's high-quality economic development. The essence is to strengthen systematic thinking, pay attention to the coordination of various policies and reform and opening-up measures, and realize the green transformation and sustainable development of China's economy and society.